Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 9
Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win69%
Draw17%
Sevilla FC win14%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.49 – 1.05
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Real Madrid have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Sevilla FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Real Madrid's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–17.6%
- 3–07.5%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–24.9%
- 4–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | Sevilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 2.14 | 1.67 |
| Goals per match | 2.57 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 50% |
Real Madrid recent form
WLWWL
Sevilla FC recent form
LDWWL
Recent form
Real Madrid
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
- Wat Elche CF3–2
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
- Wvs Inter Milan2–1
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
Sevilla FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Barcelona1–3
- Wat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
- Wvs Valencia CF1–0
- Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
- Lvs Atlético Madrid1–3
Team news
Real Madrid
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.