Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 9
Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win69%
Draw17%
Sevilla FC win14%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 2.55 – 1.10
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Real Madrid have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Sevilla FC with an above-average away defensive record. Sevilla FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–07.2%
- 1–06.6%
- 2–25.1%
- 4–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | Sevilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.36 |
| Goals per match | 2.58 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 1.64 |
| Home / away goals scored | 17 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 13 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 83% | 36% |
Real Madrid recent form
WWWWW
Sevilla FC recent form
DLWLD
Recent form
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat AS Roma4–3
- Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
- Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
- Wat Elche CF3–2
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
Sevilla FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Levante UD3–3
- Lvs Barcelona1–3
- Wat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
- Wvs Valencia CF1–0
- Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
Team news
Real Madrid
- Arsenal's Martin Zubimendi denies wanting to leave amid Atlético Madrid links
- Real Madrid pushing for JJ Gabriel as saga continues - Manchester United Academy Notebook
- JJ Gabriel comment ‘shocks Real Madrid’ as concern raised about Man United star’s dad
- Transfer rumors, news: Atlético Madrid weigh move for Jack Grealish
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.