UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Wed 21 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Wed 21 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: Madrid, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Real Madrid win82%

Draw11%

RB Leipzig win7%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 82%
Under 2.5 goals: 18%
BTTS yes: 62%

Over 1.5 goals: 93%
Over 3.5 goals: 64%
BTTS no: 38%
Expected goals: 3.42 – 1.01

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Real Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

3–18.1%
3–08.0%
2–17.1%
2–07.0%
4–16.9%
4–06.8%
5–14.7%
5–04.7%

Team comparison

Statistic	Real Madrid	RB Leipzig
Matches played	1	1
Points per match	3.00	0.00
Goals per match	2.00	1.00
Goals conceded per match	1.00	4.00
Home / away goals scored	2	1
Home / away goals conceded	1	4
Last 5 points	3	0
Last 5 goals scored	2	1
Last 5 goals conceded	1	4
Win percentage	100%	0%

Real Madrid recent form

RB Leipzig recent form

Recent form

Real Madrid

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
Wat Elche CF3–2
Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
Wvs Inter Milan2–1
Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1

RB Leipzig

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded

Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
Wvs Hamburger SV5–0
Lat Como 19071–4
Lat SV Werder Bremen1–3
Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–0

Team news

Real Madrid

All Real Madrid news →

RB Leipzig

Premier League: 10 things to look out for as the new season kicks off

All RB Leipzig news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.