UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Wed 21 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Wed 21 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: Madrid, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Real Madrid win75%

Draw13%

RB Leipzig win12%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 85%
Under 2.5 goals: 15%
BTTS yes: 73%

Over 1.5 goals: 95%
Over 3.5 goals: 70%
BTTS no: 27%
Expected goals: 3.38 – 1.41

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Real Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

3–17.6%
2–16.8%
4–16.4%
3–05.4%
3–25.4%
2–04.8%
2–24.8%
4–04.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Real Madrid	RB Leipzig
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	3.00	0.75
Goals per match	3.25	1.25
Goals conceded per match	1.75	2.75
Home / away goals scored	6	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	8
Last 5 points	12	3
Last 5 goals scored	13	5
Last 5 goals conceded	7	11
Win percentage	100%	25%

Real Madrid recent form

WWWW

RB Leipzig recent form

LWLL

Recent form

Real Madrid

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 8 conceded

Wvs Sevilla FC4–1
Wat AS Roma4–3
Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
Wat Elche CF3–2

RB Leipzig

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 8 conceded

Lat Bayern Munich1–6
Wvs PSV1–0
Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
Wvs Hamburger SV5–0

Team news

Real Madrid

All Real Madrid news →

RB Leipzig

No tracked team news threads open.

All RB Leipzig news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.