Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 5
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 12 Sept, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win88%
Draw7%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win5%
- Predicted score
- 4–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 91%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 9%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 79%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 4.33 – 1.12
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Real Madrid have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–17.3%
- 3–16.7%
- 4–06.5%
- 5–16.3%
- 3–06.0%
- 5–05.6%
- 2–14.7%
- 6–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 2.14 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 2.57 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 33% |
Real Madrid recent form
WLWWL
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form
LWLWD
Recent form
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Inter Milan2–1
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Wvs Málaga CF4–0
- Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol4–1
- Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
- Lat Barcelona2–5
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés1–1
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Wvs Villarreal CF2–0
Team news
Real Madrid
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
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Away
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.