UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5
Real Madrid vs PSV Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Tue 24 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win67%
Draw18%
PSV win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.43 – 1.07
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Real Madrid have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. PSV have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Real Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.9%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–07.3%
- 3–07.2%
- 2–25.1%
- 4–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 13 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 25% |
Real Madrid recent form
WWWW
PSV recent form
DLWL
Recent form
Real Madrid
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Valencia CF3–0
- Wat PAE AEK3–2
- Wat Real Racing Club de Santander3–0
- Wat Barcelona2–1
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
PSV
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden5–2
- Lvs Club Brugge KV1–2
- Wvs Willem II Tilburg7–0
- Dvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1
- Wat FC Porto1–0
Team news
Real Madrid
- Arsenal's Martin Zubimendi denies wanting to leave amid Atlético Madrid links
- Real Madrid pushing for JJ Gabriel as saga continues - Manchester United Academy Notebook
- JJ Gabriel comment ‘shocks Real Madrid’ as concern raised about Man United star’s dad
- Transfer rumors, news: Atlético Madrid weigh move for Jack Grealish
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma
Home
82%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
- Predicted score: 4–1Over 2.5: 92%BTTS: 77%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League
Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 75%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.