Primera Division · Matchweek 14

Real Betis Balompié vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 13:00 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Real Betis Balompié win67%
Draw17%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win16%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
2.57 – 1.18

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Real Betis Balompié have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Real Betis Balompié, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.2%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 3–06.7%
  • 1–06.1%
  • 2–25.4%
  • 4–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticReal Betis BalompiéRayo Vallecano de Madrid
Matches played1210
Points per match2.171.20
Goals per match1.671.40
Goals conceded per match1.251.90
Home / away goals scored125
Home / away goals conceded812
Last 5 points105
Last 5 goals scored115
Last 5 goals conceded86
Win percentage67%30%

Real Betis Balompié recent form

WLDWW

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

DDLWL

Recent form

Real Betis Balompié

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat Elche CF2–0
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund1–2
  • Wvs Málaga CF2–1
  • Dat RC Celta de Vigo0–0
  • Wvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–0

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Real Sociedad de Fútbol0–1
  • Wvs RC Celta de Vigo3–0
  • Lvs Elche CF0–3
  • Dat Getafe CF1–1
  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.