Primera Division · Matchweek 4

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Sevilla FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win42%
Draw23%
Sevilla FC win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.57

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sevilla FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.4%
  • 0–15.8%
  • 2–05.5%
  • 3–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticRCD Espanyol de BarcelonaSevilla FC
Matches played76
Points per match1.001.67
Goals per match1.431.33
Goals conceded per match1.431.33
Home / away goals scored65
Home / away goals conceded62
Last 5 points47
Last 5 goals scored65
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage29%50%

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona recent form

LDWLL

Sevilla FC recent form

LDWWL

Recent form

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–2
  • Lvs Real Madrid1–2
  • Wvs Levante UD3–0
  • Dvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–1
  • Wat CA Osasuna2–1

Sevilla FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Atlético Madrid1–3
  • Wat Athletic Club3–1
  • Lat RC Celta de Vigo0–1
  • Lvs Real Madrid0–1
  • Wat Villarreal CF3–2

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.