Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 9
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win22%
Draw21%
Atlético Madrid win58%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.24 – 2.14
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees RCD Espanyol de Barcelona's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model credits Atlético Madrid with an above-average away defensive record. Atlético Madrid carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–27.8%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–36.9%
- 2–26.0%
- 2–15.6%
- 0–35.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 75% |
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona recent form
DLLWD
Atlético Madrid recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Málaga CF1–1
- Lvs Elche CF1–3
- Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2
- Wat CA Osasuna2–0
- Dvs Sevilla FC1–1
Atlético Madrid
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Wvs Real Madrid2–1
- Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
- Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
Team news
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Barcelona move clear at the top after Fermín López’s double stuns Atlético Madrid
- Diego Simeone backs Julián Álvarez for Barcelona clash after Atlético transfer saga
- Papers: Man Utd handed boost in pursuit of Barcelona left-back Alejandro Balde
- Barcelona's Rodri ruled out of Atlético Madrid clash with hamstring injury
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.