Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 9
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win22%
Draw20%
Atlético Madrid win58%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.27 – 2.16
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Atlético Madrid with an above-average away defensive record. Atlético Madrid carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Atlético Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.9%
- 0–27.6%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–36.9%
- 2–26.1%
- 2–15.6%
- 0–35.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.29 |
| Goals per match | 1.43 | 2.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 71% |
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona recent form
LDWLL
Atlético Madrid recent form
WLWWW
Recent form
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Elche CF1–3
- Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2
- Wat CA Osasuna2–0
- Dvs Sevilla FC1–1
- Lat Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–2
Atlético Madrid
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Real Madrid2–1
- Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
- Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
- Lat Liverpool FC1–2
- Lat Athletic Club0–3
Team news
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Man Utd transfer news: Barcelona midfielder Gavi rejects chance to join Old Trafford - Paper Talk
- JJ Gabriel: Barcelona sporting director denies interest in Manchester United teenager
- Man United handed JJ Gabriel transfer update as Barcelona chief breaks silence on move
- JJ Gabriel receives Barcelona 'guarantee' after three Man United decisions riled his dad
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.