Primera Division · Matchweek 14

RC Celta de Vigo vs Villarreal CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 17:30 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RC Celta de Vigo win35%
Draw30%
Villarreal CF win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Under 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS yes
42%
Over 1.5 goals
62%
Over 3.5 goals
16%
BTTS no
58%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.05

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees RC Celta de Vigo's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model credits Villarreal CF with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given RC Celta de Vigo's home defensive numbers. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–113.0%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–012.4%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 0–26.8%
  • 2–06.7%

Team comparison

StatisticRC Celta de VigoVillarreal CF
Matches played1212
Points per match1.081.25
Goals per match0.831.42
Goals conceded per match0.831.25
Home / away goals scored99
Home / away goals conceded68
Last 5 points67
Last 5 goals scored24
Last 5 goals conceded43
Win percentage17%33%

RC Celta de Vigo recent form

DWDLD

Villarreal CF recent form

LDWLW

Recent form

RC Celta de Vigo

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0–3
  • Dvs Real Betis Balompié0–0
  • Wvs Deportivo Alavés2–1
  • Dat Elche CF0–0

Villarreal CF

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs Getafe CF2–0
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–6
  • Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–1
  • Wat Valencia CF2–1
  • Lat Liverpool FC3–4

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.