Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 5
RC Celta de Vigo vs Málaga CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 13:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RC Celta de Vigo win50%
Draw28%
Málaga CF win22%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS yes
- 41%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 64%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 18%
- BTTS no
- 59%
- Expected goals
- 1.37 – 0.81
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
RC Celta de Vigo have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Málaga CF, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.5%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–011.4%
- 2–010.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–25.1%
- 3–04.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RC Celta de Vigo | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.08 | 0.42 |
| Goals per match | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 1.92 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 2 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 0% |
RC Celta de Vigo recent form
DWDLD
Málaga CF recent form
DLDLL
Recent form
RC Celta de Vigo
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat Getafe CF1–1
- Dat Real Sociedad de Fútbol0–0
- Lvs Athletic Club0–2
- Lvs CA Osasuna1–2
- Dat Valencia CF0–0
Málaga CF
0W 2D 2L in the last 4 · 1 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs Levante UD0–0
- Lat Real Madrid0–4
- Dvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
- Lat Atlético Madrid0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.