UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

RB Leipzig vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RB Leipzig win54%
Draw20%
Racing Club de Lens win26%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

RB Leipzig have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Racing Club de Lens, who have shipped goals above the UEFA Champions League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–17.8%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 2–05.7%
  • 3–25.1%
  • 1–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticRB LeipzigRacing Club de Lens
Matches played44
Points per match0.750.75
Goals per match1.251.00
Goals conceded per match2.754.00
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points33
Last 5 goals scored54
Last 5 goals conceded1116
Win percentage25%25%

RB Leipzig recent form

LWLL

Racing Club de Lens recent form

WLLL

Recent form

RB Leipzig

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs FC Augsburg5–2
  • Lvs Manchester City FC2–3
  • Wat FC Schalke 042–0
  • Wvs SV 07 Elversberg4–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4

Racing Club de Lens

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 16 conceded

  • Lvs Olympique de Marseille1–2
  • Lvs Como 19071–9
  • Lat Lille OSC0–1
  • Wvs Paris FC2–1
  • Lat Club Brugge KV0–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.