Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 15 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win35%
Draw23%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.54 – 1.69
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.7%
- 1–06.1%
- 0–25.6%
- 1–34.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 1.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 29% |
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form
LWLWD
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona recent form
LDWLL
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Lat Real Madrid1–4
- Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
- Lat Barcelona2–5
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés1–1
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat CA Osasuna2–0
- Dvs Sevilla FC1–1
- Lat Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–2
- Lvs Real Madrid1–2
- Wvs Levante UD3–0
Team news
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Man Utd transfer news: Barcelona midfielder Gavi rejects chance to join Old Trafford - Paper Talk
- JJ Gabriel: Barcelona sporting director denies interest in Manchester United teenager
- Man United handed JJ Gabriel transfer update as Barcelona chief breaks silence on move
- JJ Gabriel receives Barcelona 'guarantee' after three Man United decisions riled his dad
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 August 2026
Last updated: 15 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.