Primera Division · Matchweek 11

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 (GMT+0)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win38%
Draw28%
RC Celta de Vigo win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.13

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

RC Celta de Vigo have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 0–26.1%

Team comparison

StatisticRayo Vallecano de MadridRC Celta de Vigo
Matches played67
Points per match1.331.00
Goals per match1.671.14
Goals conceded per match2.330.86
Home / away goals scored61
Home / away goals conceded41
Last 5 points76
Last 5 goals scored97
Last 5 goals conceded134
Win percentage33%14%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

LWLWD

RC Celta de Vigo recent form

LDDDW

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded

  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1
  • Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
  • Lat Barcelona2–5

RC Celta de Vigo

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander5–0
  • Dvs Málaga CF1–1
  • Dat Getafe CF1–1
  • Dat Real Sociedad de Fútbol0–0
  • Lvs Athletic Club0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
534
1X2 accuracy
46.6%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.