Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10

Racing Club de Lens vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Racing Club de Lens win46%
Draw22%
Olympique de Marseille win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.57

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Racing Club de Lens, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Olympique de Marseille carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–05.9%
  • 3–15.7%
  • 2–05.6%
  • 0–14.8%

Team comparison

StatisticRacing Club de LensOlympique de Marseille
Matches played77
Points per match1.431.29
Goals per match2.002.00
Goals conceded per match1.571.43
Home / away goals scored77
Home / away goals conceded45
Last 5 points76
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage43%43%

Racing Club de Lens recent form

LDLWW

Olympique de Marseille recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Racing Club de Lens

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat ES Troyes AC3–1
  • Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
  • Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–1
  • Lat AS Monaco FC1–2
  • Dat Le Mans FC2–2

Olympique de Marseille

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat Angers SCO5–2
  • Wat ES Troyes AC2–0
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain1–2
  • Lat Stade Rennais FC 19010–1
  • Lvs Paris FC2–3

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
711
1X2 accuracy
48.0%
BTTS accuracy
56.1%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
10.4%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.