Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10

Le Havre AC vs FC Lorient Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Le Havre AC win21%
Draw30%
FC Lorient win49%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Under 2.5 goals
69%
BTTS yes
36%
Over 1.5 goals
58%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
BTTS no
64%
Expected goals
0.71 – 1.26

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Le Havre AC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits FC Lorient with an above-average away defensive record. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture. FC Lorient arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–117.6%
  • 0–014.0%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–211.1%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–34.6%
  • 2–14.4%

Team comparison

StatisticLe Havre ACFC Lorient
Matches played77
Points per match0.291.57
Goals per match0.711.00
Goals conceded per match1.570.86
Home / away goals scored22
Home / away goals conceded62
Last 5 points110
Last 5 goals scored46
Last 5 goals conceded94
Win percentage0%43%

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLLL

FC Lorient recent form

WDLWW

Recent form

Le Havre AC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs AJ Auxerre1–3
  • Lat Lille OSC0–1
  • Lat Toulouse FC2–3
  • Dvs Angers SCO0–0
  • Lvs Stade Brestois 291–2

FC Lorient

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs AS Monaco FC1–0
  • Wvs Paris FC1–0
  • Lat Le Mans FC1–2
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
  • Wat Racing Club de Lens1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
703
1X2 accuracy
47.9%
BTTS accuracy
55.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.2%
Exact score
10.5%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.