Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 6
PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
PSV win83%
Draw9%
Sparta Rotterdam win8%
- Predicted score
- 4–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 91%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 9%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 79%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 4.10 – 1.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
PSV have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given PSV's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour PSV, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–17.0%
- 3–16.8%
- 5–15.7%
- 4–05.1%
- 3–05.0%
- 2–15.0%
- 4–24.8%
- 3–24.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | PSV | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.90 |
| Goals per match | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 2.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 19 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 20% |
PSV recent form
WLDWW
Sparta Rotterdam recent form
DWLWL
Recent form
PSV
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 20 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
- Wat AFC Ajax3–1
- Wat FC Utrecht6–1
- Wvs FC Groningen5–1
- Wvs FC Twente '655–1
Sparta Rotterdam
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 14 conceded
- Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
- Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
- Dvs FC Utrecht3–3
- Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3
- Lat FC Twente '650–4
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.