Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Sun 13 Sept, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PSV win83%

Draw9%

Sparta Rotterdam win8%

Predicted score: 4–1
Over 2.5 goals: 91%
Under 2.5 goals: 9%
BTTS yes: 73%

Over 1.5 goals: 97%
Over 3.5 goals: 79%
BTTS no: 27%
Expected goals: 4.10 – 1.37

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

PSV have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given PSV's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour PSV, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

4–17.0%
3–16.8%
5–15.7%
4–05.1%
3–05.0%
2–15.0%
4–24.8%
3–24.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	PSV	Sparta Rotterdam
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.40	0.40
Goals per match	4.00	1.40
Goals conceded per match	1.40	3.00
Home / away goals scored	9	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	6
Last 5 points	12	2
Last 5 goals scored	20	7
Last 5 goals conceded	7	15
Win percentage	80%	0%

PSV recent form

WWWWL

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

PSV

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 20 scored, 5 conceded

Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
Wat AFC Ajax3–1
Wat FC Utrecht6–1
Wvs FC Groningen5–1
Wvs FC Twente '655–1

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 14 conceded

Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
Dvs FC Utrecht3–3
Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3
Lat FC Twente '650–4

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.