Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

PSV vs SC Heerenveen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PSV win71%
Draw14%
SC Heerenveen win15%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
86%
Under 2.5 goals
14%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
71%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
3.29 – 1.56

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour PSV, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. SC Heerenveen have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. PSV's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 4–16.0%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 2–25.2%
  • 4–24.7%
  • 3–04.7%
  • 2–04.3%

Team comparison

StatisticPSVSC Heerenveen
Matches played56
Points per match2.401.00
Goals per match4.001.67
Goals conceded per match1.401.50
Home / away goals scored98
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points125
Last 5 goals scored208
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage80%17%

PSV recent form

WWWWL

SC Heerenveen recent form

LDLDW

Recent form

PSV

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat FC Twente '652–3
  • Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4–1
  • Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
  • Wat AFC Ajax3–1
  • Wat FC Utrecht6–1

SC Heerenveen

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam4–0
  • Dvs Telstar 19630–0
  • Lvs AZ2–3
  • Dat Willem II Tilburg2–2
  • Lvs PEC Zwolle0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.