Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 8
PSV vs SC Heerenveen Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
PSV win71%
Draw14%
SC Heerenveen win15%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 86%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS yes
- 76%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 71%
- BTTS no
- 24%
- Expected goals
- 3.29 – 1.56
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour PSV, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. SC Heerenveen have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. PSV's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.3%
- 2–16.7%
- 4–16.0%
- 3–25.7%
- 2–25.2%
- 4–24.7%
- 3–04.7%
- 2–04.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | PSV | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.64 |
| Goals per match | 3.60 | 2.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 1.45 |
| Home / away goals scored | 19 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 16 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 45% |
PSV recent form
WLDWW
SC Heerenveen recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
PSV
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat FC Twente '652–3
- Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4–1
- Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
- Wat AFC Ajax3–1
- Wat FC Utrecht6–1
SC Heerenveen
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat Sparta Rotterdam4–0
- Dvs Telstar 19630–0
- Lvs AZ2–3
- Dat Willem II Tilburg2–2
- Lvs PEC Zwolle0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 9 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.