UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 1

PSV vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 10 Sept, 17:45 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PSV win62%
Draw18%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk win20%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
57%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
2.58 – 1.43

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 2–06.0%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 3–05.2%
  • 4–14.8%

Team comparison

StatisticPSVFK Shakhtar Donetsk
Matches played11
Points per match1.001.00
Goals per match1.001.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.00
Home / away goals scored11
Home / away goals conceded11
Last 5 points11
Last 5 goals scored11
Last 5 goals conceded11
Win percentage0%0%

PSV recent form

D

FK Shakhtar Donetsk recent form

D

Recent form

PSV

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 23 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat AFC Ajax3–1
  • Wat FC Utrecht6–1
  • Wvs FC Groningen5–1
  • Wvs FC Twente '655–1
  • Wat Go Ahead Eagles4–1

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Thu 10 Sept, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 10 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.