Championship · Matchweek 15

Portsmouth FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 15
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Portsmouth FC win43%
Draw23%
Stoke City FC win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.53

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Stoke City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–06.6%
  • 0–15.8%
  • 2–05.7%
  • 3–15.1%

Team comparison

StatisticPortsmouth FCStoke City FC
Matches played910
Points per match1.561.90
Goals per match1.331.70
Goals conceded per match1.111.40
Home / away goals scored78
Home / away goals conceded610
Last 5 points812
Last 5 goals scored69
Last 5 goals conceded56
Win percentage44%60%

Portsmouth FC recent form

DDLWW

Stoke City FC recent form

WWWLW

Recent form

Portsmouth FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Norwich City FC1–0
  • Wvs Sheffield United FC3–2
  • Lat Southampton FC0–1
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
  • Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0

Stoke City FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Derby County FC1–0
  • Lvs Middlesbrough FC2–3
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC2–1
  • Wvs Sheffield United FC2–1
  • Wat Watford FC2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.