Championship · Matchweek 10

Portsmouth FC vs Sheffield United FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 14 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Portsmouth FC win37%
Draw27%
Sheffield United FC win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.27

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Portsmouth FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sheffield United FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 0–07.8%
  • 2–06.4%
  • 0–26.2%

Team comparison

StatisticPortsmouth FCSheffield United FC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.571.50
Goals per match1.361.50
Goals conceded per match1.071.36
Home / away goals scored1312
Home / away goals conceded1012
Last 5 points810
Last 5 goals scored77
Last 5 goals conceded55
Win percentage43%43%

Portsmouth FC recent form

DWDWL

Sheffield United FC recent form

WDWWL

Recent form

Portsmouth FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat Southampton FC0–1
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
  • Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
  • Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0
  • Lvs Derby County FC0–2

Sheffield United FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Lincoln City FC3–0
  • Lat Stoke City FC1–2
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC0–1
  • Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
  • Lvs Norwich City FC1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 September 2026
Last updated: 14 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.