Eredivisie · Matchweek 14

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 15:45 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

PEC Zwolle win31%
Draw24%
AZ win45%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.66

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees PEC Zwolle's home attacking output as weaker than the Eredivisie baseline. The model credits AZ with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–26.8%
  • 1–06.7%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 1–35.1%

Team comparison

StatisticPEC ZwolleAZ
Matches played1110
Points per match1.091.70
Goals per match1.181.80
Goals conceded per match2.001.50
Home / away goals scored67
Home / away goals conceded127
Last 5 points84
Last 5 goals scored76
Last 5 goals conceded410
Win percentage27%50%

PEC Zwolle recent form

LWDWD

AZ recent form

LDLLW

Recent form

PEC Zwolle

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Willem II Tilburg1–1
  • Wvs ADO Den Haag1–0
  • Dat FC Utrecht1–1
  • Wvs Go Ahead Eagles4–1
  • Lvs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–1

AZ

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs FC Groningen4–3
  • Lat AFC Ajax0–1
  • Lvs FC Twente '650–2
  • Dat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden2–2
  • Lat Feyenoord Rotterdam0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Eredivisie

NEC vs PSV

Home

16%

Draw

15%

Away

69%

Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.