Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 5
Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Parma Calcio 1913 win40%
Draw32%
Genoa CFC win28%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 72%
- BTTS yes
- 35%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 54%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 11%
- BTTS no
- 65%
- Expected goals
- 1.02 – 0.81
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Parma Calcio 1913's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.4%
- 0–016.1%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–113.0%
- 2–08.4%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–25.3%
- 0–25.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Parma Calcio 1913 | Genoa CFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.73 | 1.18 |
| Goals per match | 0.82 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 18% | 36% |
Parma Calcio 1913 recent form
LLDWL
Genoa CFC recent form
LWWWL
Recent form
Parma Calcio 1913
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Como 19071–2
- Dvs AC Monza1–1
- Lat Juventus0–2
- Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
- Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0
Genoa CFC
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 9 conceded
- Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
- Lvs Como 19071–4
- Lat SS Lazio0–1
- Lvs SSC Napoli0–2
- Lat US Lecce0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.