Serie A · Matchweek 5

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC Prediction

Sun 20 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Parma Calcio 1913 win40%

Draw32%

Genoa CFC win28%

Predicted score: 1–0
Over 2.5 goals: 28%
Under 2.5 goals: 72%
BTTS yes: 35%

Over 1.5 goals: 54%
Over 3.5 goals: 11%
BTTS no: 65%
Expected goals: 1.02 – 0.81

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Parma Calcio 1913's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–016.4%
0–016.1%
1–113.2%
0–113.0%
2–08.4%
2–16.7%
1–25.3%
0–25.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	Parma Calcio 1913	Genoa CFC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	0.20
Goals per match	0.80	0.60
Goals conceded per match	1.40	2.00
Home / away goals scored	3	1
Home / away goals conceded	3	3
Last 5 points	4	1
Last 5 goals scored	4	3
Last 5 goals conceded	7	10
Win percentage	20%	0%

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDLW

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

Recent form

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

Lat Como 19071–2
Dvs AC Monza1–1
Lat Juventus0–2
Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0

Genoa CFC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 9 conceded

Dvs Frosinone Calcio1–1
Lvs Como 19071–4
Lat SS Lazio0–1
Lvs SSC Napoli0–2
Lat US Lecce0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.