Serie A
AC Monza vs SSC Napoli
Home
29%
Draw
23%
Away
48%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 11
Parma Calcio 1913 vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Parma Calcio 1913 win37%
Draw30%
Bologna FC 1909 win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 34%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS yes
- 42%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 61%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 16%
- BTTS no
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 1.07 – 1.01
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Parma Calcio 1913 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Bologna FC 1909 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.4%
- 0–112.6%
- 0–012.5%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.8%
- 0–26.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Parma Calcio 1913 | Bologna FC 1909 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 0.67 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 14% |
Parma Calcio 1913 recent form
LDLWL
Bologna FC 1909 recent form
DLDWL
Recent form
Parma Calcio 1913
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Inter Milan0–3
- Wvs Genoa CFC2–1
- Lat Como 19071–2
- Dvs AC Monza1–1
- Lat Juventus0–2
Bologna FC 1909
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Inter Milan1–3
- Wat US Lecce2–1
- Dvs Torino FC1–1
- Lat SSC Napoli0–1
- Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 672
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.9%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Como 1907 vs Venezia FC
Home
72%
Draw
17%
Away
11%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 47%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Frosinone Calcio vs Torino FC
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Lecce vs Genoa CFC
Home
38%
Draw
26%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 51%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.