Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice
Home
65%
Draw
20%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 53%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 26 Oct, 19:30 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Mon 26 Oct, 20:30 (CET)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- Paris, France
United Matchday prediction
Paris Saint-Germain win42%
Draw24%
Olympique Lyonnais win34%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 1.56 – 1.38
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Paris Saint-Germain have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Olympique Lyonnais have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.3%
- 2–06.4%
- 2–26.1%
- 0–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris Saint-Germain | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 57% |
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
LWWWW
Olympique Lyonnais recent form
WDWLW
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Barcelona4–2
- Wat RC Strasbourg Alsace3–1
- Wat Manchester City FC4–2
- Wvs Le Mans FC3–1
- Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
Olympique Lyonnais
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs OGC Nice2–1
- Lat Racing Club de Lens1–2
- Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–0
- Dat Paris FC0–0
- Wvs AJ Auxerre3–1
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- Champions League review: PSG take a hit, Man City’s empty seats and teenage hope for Liverpool
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: PSG forward set for surgery after rupturing ACL in Champions League win over Barcelona
- Kvaratskhelia asks ‘why me?’ after ACL rupture in most serious of three PSG injuries
- PSG injuries can't overshadow signature UCL win over Barcelona
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 23 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 739
- 1X2 accuracy
- 48.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.9%
- Exact score
- 10.4%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain vs ES Troyes AC
Home
77%
Draw
14%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Lille OSC
Home
38%
Draw
24%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Angers SCO vs OGC Nice
Home
42%
Draw
25%
Away
33%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 56%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.