Ligue 1
Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille
Home
37%
Draw
28%
Away
35%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 42%BTTS: 48%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10
Paris Saint-Germain vs ES Troyes AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 7 Nov, 20:45 (CET)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- Paris, France
United Matchday prediction
Paris Saint-Germain win77%
Draw14%
ES Troyes AC win9%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 2.66 – 0.79
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Paris Saint-Germain's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. ES Troyes AC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Paris Saint-Germain, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.2%
- 3–010.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.4%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–16.7%
- 4–06.6%
- 4–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris Saint-Germain | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 2.29 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 15 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 14% |
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
LWWWW
ES Troyes AC recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat RC Strasbourg Alsace3–1
- Wat Manchester City FC4–2
- Wvs Le Mans FC3–1
- Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
- Wat Stade Brestois 291–0
ES Troyes AC
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 15 conceded
- Lvs Racing Club de Lens1–3
- Lvs Olympique de Marseille0–2
- Lat Angers SCO0–2
- Lat Lille OSC0–2
- Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- JJ Gabriel transfer news: Man Utd wonderkid attracting interest from Real Madrid, Barcelona, PSG, Bayern Munic
- Tough start for PSG but Luis Enrique has faith in burst of ‘new energy’ from signings
- Barcola joins Liverpool from PSG in £123m move
- Liverpool finalise agreement to sign PSG's Barcola in deal worth up to £123 million, reports say
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 681
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.3%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.0%
- Exact score
- 10.4%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice
Home
67%
Draw
19%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 50%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Home
65%
Draw
16%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.