UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona Prediction

Tue 20 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Tue 20 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: Paris, France

United Matchday prediction

Paris Saint-Germain win61%

Draw15%

Barcelona win24%

Predicted score: 3–2
Over 2.5 goals: 93%
Under 2.5 goals: 7%
BTTS yes: 88%

Over 1.5 goals: 98%
Over 3.5 goals: 84%
BTTS no: 12%
Expected goals: 3.57 – 2.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Paris Saint-Germain's home scoring output above the UEFA Champions League average. Barcelona have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Barcelona's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

3–25.7%
4–25.1%
3–14.9%
2–24.8%
3–34.4%
4–14.3%
2–14.1%
4–34.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	Paris Saint-Germain	Barcelona
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	3.00	2.25
Goals per match	5.00	3.50
Goals conceded per match	1.25	1.50
Home / away goals scored	10	6
Home / away goals conceded	3	5
Last 5 points	12	9
Last 5 goals scored	20	14
Last 5 goals conceded	5	6
Win percentage	100%	75%

Paris Saint-Germain recent form

WWWW

Barcelona recent form

WWLW

Recent form

Paris Saint-Germain

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded

Wat RC Strasbourg Alsace3–1
Wat Manchester City FC4–2
Wvs Le Mans FC3–1
Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
Wat Stade Brestois 291–0

Barcelona

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 22 scored, 6 conceded

Wat Real Betis Balompié5–2
Wat Galatasaray4–1
Wvs Getafe CF3–0
Wat Sevilla FC3–1
Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander7–2

Team news

Paris Saint-Germain

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Barcelona

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Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.