Ligue 1
Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 54%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 1 Nov, 19:45 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Olympique de Marseille win45%
Draw22%
Toulouse FC win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 70%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS no
- 30%
- Expected goals
- 1.98 – 1.68
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Toulouse FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–27.1%
- 3–15.6%
- 1–05.1%
- 2–05.0%
- 3–24.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Olympique de Marseille | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 17% |
Olympique de Marseille recent form
LLLLW
Toulouse FC recent form
DLDWD
Recent form
Olympique de Marseille
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat ES Troyes AC2–0
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain1–2
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19010–1
- Lvs Paris FC2–3
- Lat AS Monaco FC0–2
Toulouse FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Dat AS Monaco FC2–2
- Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
- Dat FC Lorient2–2
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
- Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
Team news
Olympique de Marseille
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 596
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.7%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.2%
- Exact score
- 11.1%
Related predictions
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Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Home
60%
Draw
17%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 82%BTTS: 77%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais
Home
41%
Draw
25%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 58%
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Olympique Lyonnais vs Angers SCO
Home
71%
Draw
17%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 66%BTTS: 55%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.