Premier League · Matchweek 10

Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 (GMT)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Nottingham Forest FC win9%
Draw18%
Manchester City FC win73%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
41%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
59%
Expected goals
0.63 – 2.16

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Nottingham Forest FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. The model credits Manchester City FC with an above-average away defensive record. Manchester City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Manchester City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–214.4%
  • 0–113.3%
  • 0–310.4%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 1–36.5%
  • 0–06.1%
  • 0–45.6%

Team comparison

StatisticNottingham Forest FCManchester City FC
Matches played67
Points per match0.833.00
Goals per match0.832.71
Goals conceded per match1.331.00
Home / away goals scored08
Home / away goals conceded21
Last 5 points515
Last 5 goals scored513
Last 5 goals conceded75
Win percentage17%100%

Nottingham Forest FC recent form

DDWLL

Manchester City FC recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

Nottingham Forest FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Crystal Palace FC1–3
  • Lvs Coventry City FC0–1
  • Wat Aston Villa FC2–1
  • Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
  • Dat Liverpool FC2–2

Manchester City FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs Ipswich Town FC3–2
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain2–4
  • Wat Liverpool FC3–0
  • Wvs Sunderland AFC5–3
  • Wat Manchester United FC1–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.