Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 61%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 9
Liverpool FC vs Arsenal FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Liverpool FC win24%
Draw25%
Arsenal FC win50%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 1.00 – 1.56
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Liverpool FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Arsenal FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Arsenal FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–112.1%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–29.4%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–07.7%
- 2–16.0%
- 1–34.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Liverpool FC | Arsenal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 83% |
Liverpool FC recent form
DWDWL
Arsenal FC recent form
WWWLW
Recent form
Liverpool FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–3
- Wat AFC Bournemouth1–0
- Dvs Fulham FC0–0
- Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
- Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
Arsenal FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Leeds United FC2–1
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
- Wat SSC Napoli1–0
- Wvs Chelsea FC2–1
Team news
Liverpool FC
- Ronald Araujo has been Liverpool's most important summer signing so far by balancing Andoni Iraola’s side from
- Liverpool defender Jeremy Jacquet left out of France game after suffering hamstring strain - Paper Talk
- Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool eye Endrick in case Minteh deal fails
- Transfer news: Crystal Palace chairman Steve Parish tells Liverpool accepting £50m Ismaila Sarr bid was 'never
Arsenal FC
- Premier League: 10 things to look out for this weekend
- ‘This is only the beginning,’ vows Mikel Arteta after signing £80m-plus Arsenal deal
- Kai Havertz returning to Arsenal to be assessed after suffering injury for Germany against Netherlands
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal want Yildiz as Al Hilal add Martinelli to short list
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 590
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.0%
- Exact score
- 10.8%
Related predictions
Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland AFC
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 61%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
43%
Draw
24%
Away
33%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC
Home
9%
Draw
14%
Away
76%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.