Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 10
Norwich City FC vs Southampton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 14 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Norwich City FC win38%
Draw20%
Southampton FC win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 76%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS no
- 24%
- Expected goals
- 2.00 – 2.10
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Norwich City FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Southampton FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.3%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.0%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–35.1%
- 2–35.1%
- 3–24.9%
- 3–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Norwich City FC | Southampton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.87 |
| Goals per match | 2.21 | 1.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 15 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 53% |
Norwich City FC recent form
LWWWW
Southampton FC recent form
DWWDL
Recent form
Norwich City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Swansea City AFC1–2
- Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–4
- Lat Middlesbrough FC3–4
- Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
- Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
Southampton FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Portsmouth FC1–0
- Lat Wrexham AFC1–2
- Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
- Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
- Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 September 2026
Last updated: 14 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.