Championship · Matchweek 10

Norwich City FC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 14 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Norwich City FC win40%
Draw21%
Southampton FC win39%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
75%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
57%
BTTS no
25%
Expected goals
2.02 – 2.00

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Norwich City FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 3–24.9%
  • 3–14.9%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 1–34.8%

Team comparison

StatisticNorwich City FCSouthampton FC
Matches played78
Points per match1.291.75
Goals per match2.142.38
Goals conceded per match2.141.25
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded66
Last 5 points68
Last 5 goals scored1110
Last 5 goals conceded116
Win percentage43%50%

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWLL

Southampton FC recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

Norwich City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–4
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC3–4
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–1

Southampton FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Wrexham AFC1–2
  • Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
  • Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
  • Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
  • Dat Birmingham City FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.