Championship · Matchweek 11

Norwich City FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Norwich City FC win47%
Draw22%
Portsmouth FC win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
48%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.60

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Norwich City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Portsmouth FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 3–15.8%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 2–05.5%
  • 3–24.6%

Team comparison

StatisticNorwich City FCPortsmouth FC
Matches played76
Points per match1.291.33
Goals per match2.141.33
Goals conceded per match2.141.17
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded63
Last 5 points65
Last 5 goals scored115
Last 5 goals conceded116
Win percentage43%33%

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWLL

Portsmouth FC recent form

LLWDD

Recent form

Norwich City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–4
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC3–4
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–1

Portsmouth FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
  • Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
  • Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0
  • Lvs Derby County FC0–2
  • Lat Bristol City FC1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.