Championship · Matchweek 11

Norwich City FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Norwich City FC win38%
Draw24%
Portsmouth FC win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.54

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Norwich City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Portsmouth FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 0–17.0%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 2–05.5%
  • 0–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticNorwich City FCPortsmouth FC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.501.57
Goals per match2.211.36
Goals conceded per match1.571.07
Home / away goals scored126
Home / away goals conceded105
Last 5 points128
Last 5 goals scored157
Last 5 goals conceded45
Win percentage50%43%

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWWW

Portsmouth FC recent form

DWDWL

Recent form

Norwich City FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lvs Southampton FC0–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC1–2
  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–4
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC3–4
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1

Portsmouth FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Sheffield United FC3–2
  • Lat Southampton FC0–1
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
  • Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
  • Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.