Championship · Matchweek 16

Norwich City FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 16
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Norwich City FC win66%
Draw16%
Cardiff City FC win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
81%
Under 2.5 goals
19%
BTTS yes
73%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
Over 3.5 goals
64%
BTTS no
27%
Expected goals
2.88 – 1.50

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Norwich City FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. Cardiff City FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Norwich City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.8%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–25.6%
  • 1–15.4%
  • 4–15.4%
  • 2–05.2%
  • 3–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticNorwich City FCCardiff City FC
Matches played1415
Points per match1.501.20
Goals per match2.211.80
Goals conceded per match1.571.80
Home / away goals scored126
Home / away goals conceded1014
Last 5 points128
Last 5 goals scored1511
Last 5 goals conceded412
Win percentage50%27%

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWWW

Cardiff City FC recent form

DWLDW

Recent form

Norwich City FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat Bristol City FC5–0
  • Wat Derby County FC4–0
  • Wvs Watford FC3–2
  • Wat Charlton Athletic FC3–1
  • Lvs Portsmouth FC0–1

Cardiff City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs Burnley FC5–4
  • Dvs West Ham United FC3–3
  • Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC0–3
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC1–0
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.