Championship · Matchweek 6

Norwich City FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 9 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Norwich City FC win54%
Draw20%
Birmingham City FC win25%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.47

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Norwich City FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. The model credits Birmingham City FC with an above-average away defensive record. Birmingham City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–06.1%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 1–05.6%
  • 3–24.9%

Team comparison

StatisticNorwich City FCBirmingham City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.291.43
Goals per match2.141.71
Goals conceded per match2.141.57
Home / away goals scored95
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points66
Last 5 goals scored118
Last 5 goals conceded118
Win percentage43%29%

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWLL

Birmingham City FC recent form

DDLWD

Recent form

Norwich City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–1
  • Wvs Burnley FC4–1
  • Lat Millwall FC0–3
  • Lat Hull City AFC1–2

Birmingham City FC

1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC2–2
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Wat Wrexham AFC2–1
  • Dvs Bristol City FC2–2
  • Dat Portsmouth FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 9 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.