Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland AFC
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 61%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 9
Newcastle United FC vs Everton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- St James' Park, Newcastle, England
United Matchday prediction
Newcastle United FC win38%
Draw24%
Everton FC win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 1.47
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Everton FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–26.2%
- 2–05.8%
- 0–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Newcastle United FC | Everton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 33% |
Newcastle United FC recent form
WDLWL
Everton FC recent form
DDDWD
Recent form
Newcastle United FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Coventry City FC1–4
- Wvs Hull City AFC2–1
- Lat Leeds United FC1–4
- Dvs AFC Bournemouth2–2
- Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC2–0
Everton FC
1W 4D 0L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat Hull City AFC2–2
- Wvs Ipswich Town FC1–0
- Dat Tottenham Hotspur FC0–0
- Dvs Manchester United FC2–2
- Dat AFC Bournemouth1–1
Team news
Newcastle United FC
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 12 October 2026
Last updated: 12 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 607
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.8%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.3%
- Exact score
- 11.2%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.