Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 3
NEC vs SBV Excelsior Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 8 Sept, 17:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
NEC win18%
Draw16%
SBV Excelsior win66%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 82%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 18%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 65%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 1.53 – 2.91
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
SBV Excelsior have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. SBV Excelsior arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.7%
- 1–37.4%
- 2–25.9%
- 2–35.7%
- 1–45.4%
- 1–15.3%
- 0–25.0%
- 0–34.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | NEC | SBV Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 2.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 20 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 20% |
NEC recent form
DDDLW
SBV Excelsior recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
NEC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
- Wat PEC Zwolle3–1
- Wvs Go Ahead Eagles2–1
- Lat FC Groningen1–2
- Dvs Telstar 19631–1
SBV Excelsior
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
- Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1
- Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2
- Dvs FC Volendam1–1
- Wat FC Groningen3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Tue 8 Sept, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 August 2026
Last updated: 8 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.