Eredivisie · Matchweek 3

NEC vs SBV Excelsior Prediction

Tue 8 Sept, 17:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 8 Sept, 17:45 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

NEC win18%

Draw16%

SBV Excelsior win66%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 82%
Under 2.5 goals: 18%
BTTS yes: 74%

Over 1.5 goals: 94%
Over 3.5 goals: 65%
BTTS no: 26%
Expected goals: 1.53 – 2.91

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SBV Excelsior have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. SBV Excelsior arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–27.7%
1–37.4%
2–25.9%
2–35.7%
1–45.4%
1–15.3%
0–25.0%
0–34.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	NEC	SBV Excelsior
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	1.60
Goals per match	1.40	2.00
Goals conceded per match	2.00	1.40
Home / away goals scored	4	7
Home / away goals conceded	6	4
Last 5 points	5	8
Last 5 goals scored	7	10
Last 5 goals conceded	10	7
Win percentage	20%	40%

NEC recent form

WLDLD

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

Recent form

NEC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
Wat PEC Zwolle3–1
Wvs Go Ahead Eagles2–1
Lat FC Groningen1–2
Dvs Telstar 19631–1

SBV Excelsior

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1
Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2
Dvs FC Volendam1–1
Wat FC Groningen3–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Tue 8 Sept, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.