Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 15:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
NEC win44%
Draw19%
Go Ahead Eagles win37%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 83%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS yes
- 80%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS no
- 20%
- Expected goals
- 2.38 – 2.16
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Go Ahead Eagles, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.5%
- 1–25.9%
- 3–25.6%
- 1–15.5%
- 3–15.2%
- 2–35.1%
- 1–34.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | NEC | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.82 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 2.36 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 19 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 27% |
NEC recent form
DDDLW
Go Ahead Eagles recent form
DLWLW
Recent form
NEC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–3
- Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
- Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
- Wat PEC Zwolle3–1
- Wvs Go Ahead Eagles2–1
Go Ahead Eagles
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded
- Dvs FC Groningen1–1
- Dat FC Utrecht3–3
- Lat AZ2–5
- Wvs ADO Den Haag3–1
- Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam2–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
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41%
Draw
21%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.