Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 15:45 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

NEC win44%
Draw19%
Go Ahead Eagles win37%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
83%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
BTTS yes
80%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
66%
BTTS no
20%
Expected goals
2.38 – 2.16

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Go Ahead Eagles, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 3–25.6%
  • 1–15.5%
  • 3–15.2%
  • 2–35.1%
  • 1–34.3%

Team comparison

StatisticNECGo Ahead Eagles
Matches played56
Points per match1.001.17
Goals per match1.402.00
Goals conceded per match2.002.17
Home / away goals scored48
Home / away goals conceded611
Last 5 points56
Last 5 goals scored710
Last 5 goals conceded1011
Win percentage20%17%

NEC recent form

WLDLD

Go Ahead Eagles recent form

WLDDD

Recent form

NEC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–3
  • Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
  • Wat PEC Zwolle3–1
  • Wvs Go Ahead Eagles2–1

Go Ahead Eagles

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded

  • Dvs FC Groningen1–1
  • Dat FC Utrecht3–3
  • Lat AZ2–5
  • Wvs ADO Den Haag3–1
  • Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.