Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3
Moreirense FC vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 9 Sept, 20:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Moreirense FC win5%
Draw10%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win85%
- Predicted score
- 0–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 0.77 – 3.34
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Moreirense FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sport Lisboa e Benfica's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–310.2%
- 0–29.2%
- 0–48.6%
- 1–37.9%
- 1–27.1%
- 1–46.6%
- 0–55.7%
- 0–15.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Moreirense FC | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 2.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 2.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 20 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 90% |
Moreirense FC recent form
DLWWL
Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
Moreirense FC
1W 0D 2L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat FC Porto1–2
- Wat Casa Pia AC1–0
- Lat FC Arouca0–4
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat CS Marítimo3–0
- Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
- Wat Casa Pia AC7–0
- Lat Real Madrid1–2
- Lvs Real Madrid0–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Wed 9 Sept, 20:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 9 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.