Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3

Moreirense FC vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 9 Sept, 20:45 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Moreirense FC win5%
Draw10%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win85%
Predicted score
0–3
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
59%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
0.77 – 3.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Moreirense FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sport Lisboa e Benfica's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–310.2%
  • 0–29.2%
  • 0–48.6%
  • 1–37.9%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 1–46.6%
  • 0–55.7%
  • 0–15.5%

Team comparison

StatisticMoreirense FCSport Lisboa e Benfica
Matches played66
Points per match1.172.50
Goals per match1.003.33
Goals conceded per match2.000.83
Home / away goals scored315
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points712
Last 5 goals scored613
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage33%83%

Moreirense FC recent form

WLLWD

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

Moreirense FC

1W 0D 2L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat FC Porto1–2
  • Wat Casa Pia AC1–0
  • Lat FC Arouca0–4

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat CS Marítimo3–0
  • Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
  • Wat Casa Pia AC7–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Lvs Real Madrid0–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Wed 9 Sept, 20:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 9 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.