Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8
Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 9 Oct, 18:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Moreirense FC win40%
Draw26%
Gil Vicente FC win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.42 – 1.31
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–06.6%
- 0–06.5%
- 2–25.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 40% |
Moreirense FC recent form
DLWWL
Gil Vicente FC recent form
WWLDW
Recent form
Moreirense FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Dat Vitória SC1–1
- Wvs CS Marítimo3–1
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
- Lat FC Porto1–2
- Wat Casa Pia AC1–0
Gil Vicente FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs CS Marítimo1–1
- Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–3
- Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–1
- Dat FC Famalicão0–0
- Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 18:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 9 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.