Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8

Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 9 Oct, 18:45 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Moreirense FC win40%
Draw26%
Gil Vicente FC win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.31

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 0–06.5%
  • 2–25.7%

Team comparison

StatisticMoreirense FCGil Vicente FC
Matches played65
Points per match1.171.00
Goals per match1.000.80
Goals conceded per match2.001.00
Home / away goals scored31
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points75
Last 5 goals scored64
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage33%20%

Moreirense FC recent form

WLLWD

Gil Vicente FC recent form

WDLLD

Recent form

Moreirense FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dat Vitória SC1–1
  • Wvs CS Marítimo3–1
  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
  • Lat FC Porto1–2
  • Wat Casa Pia AC1–0

Gil Vicente FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs CS Marítimo1–1
  • Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–3
  • Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–1
  • Dat FC Famalicão0–0
  • Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 18:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.