Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6

Moreirense FC vs CS Marítimo Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 14 Sept, 20:15 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Moreirense FC win16%
Draw20%
CS Marítimo win64%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
0.98 – 2.13

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Moreirense FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–210.1%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–37.2%
  • 1–37.0%
  • 2–24.9%
  • 2–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticMoreirense FCCS Marítimo
Matches played66
Points per match1.170.83
Goals per match1.001.17
Goals conceded per match2.002.00
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded57
Last 5 points72
Last 5 goals scored65
Last 5 goals conceded811
Win percentage33%17%

Moreirense FC recent form

WLLWD

CS Marítimo recent form

DLLLD

Recent form

Moreirense FC

1W 0D 3L in the last 4 · 2 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
  • Lat FC Porto1–2
  • Wat Casa Pia AC1–0
  • Lat FC Arouca0–4

CS Marítimo

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–3
  • Lat FC Arouca1–2
  • Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2
  • Wat FC Famalicão2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.