Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6
Moreirense FC vs CS Marítimo Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 14 Sept, 20:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Moreirense FC win16%
Draw20%
CS Marítimo win64%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 0.98 – 2.13
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Moreirense FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–37.2%
- 1–37.0%
- 2–24.9%
- 2–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Moreirense FC | CS Marítimo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 0.56 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 0.89 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 11% |
Moreirense FC recent form
DLWWL
CS Marítimo recent form
LDLLL
Recent form
Moreirense FC
1W 0D 3L in the last 4 · 2 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
- Lat FC Porto1–2
- Wat Casa Pia AC1–0
- Lat FC Arouca0–4
CS Marítimo
1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–3
- Lat FC Arouca1–2
- Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2
- Wat FC Famalicão2–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.