Championship · Matchweek 10

Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Millwall FC win39%
Draw22%
Swansea City AFC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
48%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.78

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Millwall FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Swansea City AFC with an above-average away defensive record. Swansea City AFC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–05.0%
  • 0–15.0%
  • 3–14.8%
  • 1–34.7%

Team comparison

StatisticMillwall FCSwansea City AFC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.071.64
Goals per match1.501.43
Goals conceded per match1.931.21
Home / away goals scored159
Home / away goals conceded914
Last 5 points43
Last 5 goals scored76
Last 5 goals conceded1111
Win percentage29%50%

Millwall FC recent form

DLWLL

Swansea City AFC recent form

LLWLL

Recent form

Millwall FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Preston North End FC1–0
  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC4–0

Swansea City AFC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Norwich City FC2–1
  • Wat Lincoln City FC2–1
  • Wvs Burnley FC3–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–3
  • Dvs Wrexham AFC0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.