Championship · Matchweek 10

Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Millwall FC win35%
Draw22%
Swansea City AFC win42%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.84

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Millwall FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Swansea City AFC with an above-average away defensive record. Swansea City AFC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.2%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 0–15.5%
  • 1–35.2%
  • 0–25.1%
  • 1–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticMillwall FCSwansea City AFC
Matches played77
Points per match1.142.00
Goals per match1.861.57
Goals conceded per match2.140.71
Home / away goals scored96
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points510
Last 5 goals scored98
Last 5 goals conceded105
Win percentage29%57%

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Swansea City AFC recent form

WDLWW

Recent form

Millwall FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC4–0
  • Lvs Wrexham AFC0–3

Swansea City AFC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Lincoln City FC2–1
  • Wvs Burnley FC3–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–3
  • Dvs Wrexham AFC0–0
  • Wvs Watford FC2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.