Championship · Matchweek 13

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Millwall FC win55%
Draw23%
Derby County FC win23%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.14

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Millwall FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 0–15.6%
  • 2–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticMillwall FCDerby County FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.140.71
Goals per match1.860.86
Goals conceded per match2.141.71
Home / away goals scored93
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points54
Last 5 goals scored94
Last 5 goals conceded107
Win percentage29%14%

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Derby County FC recent form

WLLLD

Recent form

Millwall FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC4–0
  • Lvs Wrexham AFC0–3

Derby County FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
  • Lat West Ham United FC0–3
  • Wat Portsmouth FC2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
534
1X2 accuracy
46.6%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.