Championship · Matchweek 18

Millwall FC vs Burnley FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 18
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Millwall FC win60%
Draw18%
Burnley FC win22%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
72%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
28%
Expected goals
2.54 – 1.53

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Burnley FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Burnley FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.5%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 2–05.5%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 1–25.1%
  • 3–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticMillwall FCBurnley FC
Matches played1415
Points per match1.070.67
Goals per match1.501.47
Goals conceded per match1.932.07
Home / away goals scored1514
Home / away goals conceded921
Last 5 points42
Last 5 goals scored77
Last 5 goals conceded1112
Win percentage29%7%

Millwall FC recent form

DLWLL

Burnley FC recent form

LLDDL

Recent form

Millwall FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–3
  • Lat Birmingham City FC0–3
  • Wvs Derby County FC4–1
  • Lat Portsmouth FC1–2
  • Dvs Lincoln City FC2–2

Burnley FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Cardiff City FC4–5
  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC1–1
  • Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
  • Lat Lincoln City FC1–4
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.