Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 7
Middlesbrough FC vs Norwich City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Middlesbrough FC win58%
Draw21%
Norwich City FC win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 2.13 – 1.21
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Middlesbrough FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Norwich City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 2–08.0%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–16.9%
- 2–25.9%
- 3–05.7%
- 1–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Middlesbrough FC | Norwich City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.86 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 2.21 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 19 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWLD
Norwich City FC recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
Middlesbrough FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
- Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC3–1
- Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
- Lat Hull City AFC0–1
Norwich City FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
- Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
- Lat Stoke City FC0–1
- Wvs Burnley FC4–1
- Lat Millwall FC0–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.