Championship · Matchweek 7

Middlesbrough FC vs Norwich City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Middlesbrough FC win58%
Draw21%
Norwich City FC win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
43%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.21

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Middlesbrough FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Norwich City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–05.7%
  • 1–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticMiddlesbrough FCNorwich City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.711.29
Goals per match2.002.14
Goals conceded per match1.572.14
Home / away goals scored96
Home / away goals conceded69
Last 5 points96
Last 5 goals scored1011
Last 5 goals conceded811
Win percentage43%43%

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWDD

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWLL

Recent form

Middlesbrough FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC3–1
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
  • Lat Hull City AFC0–1

Norwich City FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–1
  • Wvs Burnley FC4–1
  • Lat Millwall FC0–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.