Championship · Matchweek 6

Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Middlesbrough FC win75%
Draw12%
Millwall FC win12%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
88%
Under 2.5 goals
12%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
96%
Over 3.5 goals
75%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
3.59 – 1.52

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Middlesbrough FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. Millwall FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Middlesbrough FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.2%
  • 4–16.4%
  • 2–16.0%
  • 3–25.4%
  • 4–24.9%
  • 3–04.7%
  • 5–14.6%
  • 2–24.5%

Team comparison

StatisticMiddlesbrough FCMillwall FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.711.14
Goals per match2.001.86
Goals conceded per match1.572.14
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded610
Last 5 points95
Last 5 goals scored109
Last 5 goals conceded810
Win percentage43%29%

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWDD

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Recent form

Middlesbrough FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Norwich City FC4–3
  • Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC3–1
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2

Millwall FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC4–0
  • Lvs Wrexham AFC0–3
  • Lat Southampton FC1–5
  • Wvs Norwich City FC3–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 15 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.