Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 11
Middlesbrough FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Middlesbrough FC win63%
Draw18%
Cardiff City FC win19%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 73%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 89%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 2.49 – 1.31
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Middlesbrough FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Middlesbrough FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–07.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 3–05.8%
- 1–05.6%
- 3–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Middlesbrough FC | Cardiff City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.86 | 1.20 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.29 | 1.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 27% |
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWLD
Cardiff City FC recent form
DWLDW
Recent form
Middlesbrough FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 9 conceded
- Wat Stoke City FC3–2
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–0
- Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
- Dvs Millwall FC2–2
- Wvs Norwich City FC4–3
Cardiff City FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Watford FC5–1
- Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
- Lat Bolton Wanderers FC0–1
- Dvs Stoke City FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.