Championship · Matchweek 16

Middlesbrough FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 16
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Middlesbrough FC win64%
Draw18%
Bristol City FC win17%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
2.43 – 1.21

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Middlesbrough FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 3–17.6%
  • 1–06.4%
  • 3–06.3%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 1–24.7%

Team comparison

StatisticMiddlesbrough FCBristol City FC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.861.29
Goals per match2.001.14
Goals conceded per match1.291.57
Home / away goals scored1512
Home / away goals conceded811
Last 5 points84
Last 5 goals scored104
Last 5 goals conceded510
Win percentage50%36%

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWLD

Bristol City FC recent form

LDWLL

Recent form

Middlesbrough FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat Watford FC0–0
  • Lat Wrexham AFC0–2
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–0
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC5–1
  • Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2

Bristol City FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Norwich City FC0–5
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–2
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC3–2
  • Dat Stoke City FC0–0
  • Lvs Sheffield United FC0–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.