UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5
Manchester City FC vs SSC Napoli Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
United Matchday prediction
Manchester City FC win76%
Draw12%
SSC Napoli win12%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 89%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 11%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 97%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 77%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 3.71 – 1.55
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Manchester City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against SSC Napoli, who have shipped goals above the UEFA Champions League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Manchester City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.0%
- 4–16.4%
- 2–15.6%
- 3–25.4%
- 4–25.0%
- 5–14.8%
- 3–04.5%
- 2–24.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Manchester City FC | SSC Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals per match | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.75 | 2.75 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 25% |
Manchester City FC recent form
WLWW
SSC Napoli recent form
LLWL
Recent form
Manchester City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Nottingham Forest FC1–3
- Wat RB Leipzig3–2
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–1
- Lat Aston Villa FC1–2
- Wvs PAE AEK5–1
SSC Napoli
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded
- Dvs SS Lazio1–1
- Lat FC Porto1–4
- Lat Juventus0–2
- Wat AC Monza4–1
- Dvs AS Roma3–3
Team news
Manchester City FC
- Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action
- Scott Pollock: Oxford City midfielder on cup exit to Leicester
- Cardiff City vs West Ham: Max Kilman's equaliser makes it 3-3 after incredible comeback from The Hammers
- Enzo Maresca believes his Manchester City squad is now 'complete' following the signing of Enzo Fernandez
SSC Napoli
- Scott McTominay transfer 'could become a reality' in major twist for ex-Man United star
- Man United handed update on sensational Scott McTominay return after transfer 'enquiry'
- Napoli and Roma return to training, Inter, Milan, Como enjoy break: Serie A clubs' international schedule
- Scott McTominay's recovery timeline revealed ahead of ex-Man United star's heart surgery
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma
Home
82%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
- Predicted score: 4–1Over 2.5: 92%BTTS: 77%
Low confidenceFull prediction
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Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich
Home
16%
Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.