Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 6
Málaga CF vs Villarreal CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Thu 17 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Málaga CF win36%
Draw29%
Villarreal CF win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 62%
- BTTS yes
- 45%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 65%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 19%
- BTTS no
- 55%
- Expected goals
- 1.12 – 1.11
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Málaga CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given Málaga CF's home defensive numbers. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–010.8%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–06.7%
- 0–26.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Málaga CF | Villarreal CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 0.42 | 1.25 |
| Goals per match | 0.75 | 1.42 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.92 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 33% |
Málaga CF recent form
DLDLL
Villarreal CF recent form
LDWLW
Recent form
Málaga CF
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 8 conceded
- Dat RC Celta de Vigo1–1
- Dvs Levante UD0–0
- Lat Real Madrid0–4
- Dvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
- Lat Atlético Madrid0–2
Villarreal CF
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2
- Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
- Lvs RC Deportivo La Coruña2–3
- Lat Deportivo Alavés0–1
- Dat Atlético Madrid2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 August 2026
Last updated: 17 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.