Primera Division · Matchweek 9

Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Málaga CF win29%
Draw24%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win47%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.64

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Málaga CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Real Sociedad de Fútbol, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Real Sociedad de Fútbol's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Real Sociedad de Fútbol arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 0–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticMálaga CFReal Sociedad de Fútbol
Matches played1212
Points per match0.421.83
Goals per match0.751.75
Goals conceded per match1.921.67
Home / away goals scored613
Home / away goals conceded1213
Last 5 points212
Last 5 goals scored612
Last 5 goals conceded117
Win percentage0%58%

Málaga CF recent form

DLDLL

Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form

WWWLW

Recent form

Málaga CF

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
  • Lat Getafe CF0–1
  • Lvs Villarreal CF1–3
  • Dat RC Celta de Vigo1–1
  • Dvs Levante UD0–0

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña3–2
  • Wat Valencia CF3–2
  • Lvs Atlético Madrid0–3
  • Wat Elche CF3–2
  • Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.