Primera Division · Matchweek 9

Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Málaga CF win27%
Draw24%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win49%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.68

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Málaga CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Real Sociedad de Fútbol arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 1–06.8%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 0–05.8%
  • 2–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticMálaga CFReal Sociedad de Fútbol
Matches played77
Points per match0.431.43
Goals per match0.431.29
Goals conceded per match1.711.86
Home / away goals scored27
Home / away goals conceded49
Last 5 points210
Last 5 goals scored28
Last 5 goals conceded98
Win percentage0%43%

Málaga CF recent form

LDDLL

Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form

WDWLW

Recent form

Málaga CF

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Getafe CF0–1
  • Lvs Villarreal CF1–3
  • Dat RC Celta de Vigo1–1
  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Real Madrid0–4

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat Valencia CF3–2
  • Lvs Atlético Madrid0–3
  • Wat Elche CF3–2
  • Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
  • Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.