Primera Division · Matchweek 4

Málaga CF vs Levante UD Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Málaga CF win42%
Draw27%
Levante UD win31%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.10

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Málaga CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 0–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticMálaga CFLevante UD
Matches played76
Points per match0.430.83
Goals per match0.431.33
Goals conceded per match1.712.00
Home / away goals scored21
Home / away goals conceded46
Last 5 points25
Last 5 goals scored28
Last 5 goals conceded99
Win percentage0%17%

Málaga CF recent form

LDDLL

Levante UD recent form

DWDLL

Recent form

Málaga CF

0W 1D 2L in the last 3 · 1 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Real Madrid0–4
  • Dvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
  • Lat Atlético Madrid0–2

Levante UD

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Real Betis Balompié5–2
  • Dat CA Osasuna0–0
  • Lat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–3
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié1–2
  • Wvs RCD Mallorca2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.