Primera Division · Matchweek 14

Málaga CF vs Athletic Club Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 15:15 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Málaga CF win21%
Draw25%
Athletic Club win55%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.63

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Málaga CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model credits Athletic Club with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.9%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 0–210.6%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–07.9%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 0–35.7%
  • 2–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticMálaga CFAthletic Club
Matches played1211
Points per match0.421.45
Goals per match0.751.36
Goals conceded per match1.921.00
Home / away goals scored64
Home / away goals conceded126
Last 5 points28
Last 5 goals scored68
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage0%36%

Málaga CF recent form

DLDLL

Athletic Club recent form

DLWWD

Recent form

Málaga CF

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié1–2
  • Dat Deportivo Alavés1–1
  • Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–5
  • Dvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1

Athletic Club

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1
  • Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–1
  • Wvs Getafe CF4–0
  • Lat Levante UD1–3
  • Dat Valencia CF0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.